Due to some inclement weather, virtually shutting down
Hong Kong (including the exchange) and an actual request for a sports blog it appears the planets have lined up.
One note here: I started this blog at work during the week but did not have time to finish it until today so a few things may have changed. Also even though it is a very high level analysis if you have no interest in the Giants you may just want to skip this and wait for Lisa's next entry.Before I get to my thoughts on the up coming Giant's season let me just start by congratulating the Jets on signing
Favre. The news just broke mid day here, so getting ahead of that story has been about the one benefit of being a sports fan on the other side of the world. I'm sure he's going to go right back to MVP form in that line up and the Jets aren't just wasting another two years to start rebuilding for the who knows how many times since 1969.
Some quotes since the trade that should have the Jet fans excited:
"To a certain degree I don't know what I'm getting myself into"
"There's no guarantees. There have never been any guarantees for me. It's football and anything can happen."
Just what you want to here from your new $12M + quarterback - who only a week earlier had no desire what so ever to play for your team.Now onto the up coming season for the 2008 Superbowl Champions New York Football Giants. I fully admit I have flip flopped more times then I could count reading articles over the past few weeks in regards to how this up coming season will turn out. In emails with friends (because no one out here is really a sports fan - most just know enough to keep up a conversation if their clients start talking about it) I have predicted everything from no more than 5 wins to an 11 win season seemingly possible.
THE BAD- You can not replace a player like Micheal Strahan. At best you hope as a team you can pick up most of the slack left behind as a player and a personality - and teams are rarely successful at this when they lose a player of his caliber. Even after all these years he continually drew double and triple teams and opponents devised game plans around him. When teams like Philly decided to play him one on one with All Pro lineman Runyan, McNabb ended up on his back 6 times a game. You've got to love what Osi is bringing to the table - but Strahan is the biggest loss of the off season bar none and even in a hopeful and optimistic fan frame of mind there is no arguing that his retirement is going to hurt.
- Shockey. Though many may say this goes into the good side of the balance sheet, I'm simply not in that camp. Yes they won the SB without him - but there's no question he was a big reason they got there. I argued they should not have traded him and I realized after they probably had no choice, so I'm not blaming management (though they should have realized this before the draft). I'll also agree that he could be a distraction but I truly believe it was because he wanted to win. This paragraph could be its own blog but what he did was:
- Always played hard - yes he complained about blocking - but then he went out and did it and did it well.
- Destroyed Dallas twice a year - trust me they loved this trade more than anyone.
- Brought life to an offense that was dead for years. Eli will go down as a NY legend but he is a blank slate on the field and off. And I have a feeling we are going to see what a real selfish player looks like in Plaxico this year.
- The worst part is we all know Payton is going to use him as an offensive weapon like he wants and he's going to be in the pro bowl at the end of the year. My only hope is seeing him drop one or two key passes in someone else's uniform.
- The let down. It is very difficult to repeat a championship season and since free agency it is becoming more and more of a challenge. It's easy to say you are not satisfied in the pre-season, but once a few bad games happen it's also easy to write this season off. Does Plaxico play though injuries like he did last year while he still has a nice new shinny ring at home - we'll have to see.
The GOOD
- Low expectations. By the time the season starts many analyst won't even pick them above 3rd in their own division and it is always easier to get motivated from an underdog role.
- Experience and confidence. Never underestimate a champion - this team figured out how to get it done in the most unlikely of scenarios and no one handed them any of the games. They didn't win any on bad calls or fluke bounces - there was one amazing play and they can't even refer to it as "The Catch" because that was already used. Meaning most teams do at least one or two great things along the way to win it all and the Giants had enough talent to get the job done.
- A fairly decent schedule. Last year I believe they had the second hardest strength of schedule in the league. If they step up like a champion and at least win the games they should and hang around in the end - then anything can happen.
- This front office can draft. Last years class not only all stayed with the team but contributed in some significant way during the year. They were also smart enough not to let Osi go to bring Eli in, even though almost everyone thought they gave up too much. In hind sight if they kept a few of those picks but lost Osi I think we would have ended up much worse. So we'll need to see if they have been able to do it two years in a row.
- Eli. I stood up for him long after most people jumped ship but I'll admit without the miracle run at the end of last year I would have definitely been in the water with everyone else this upcoming season. Now he has a new life and a chance to develop into an elite leader in the league. The rule of thumb is that quarterbacks continue to develop for about seven seasons - after that it's about as good as you are going to get out of that player. With that said even if the Giants stumble the next year or two, Eli should be at peak performance when the new stadium opens and I'm back in the house.
THE UNKNOWNThis could also be referred to as the Tiki Factor. With last years schedule and the fact that the person responsible for half of our offensive output over the previous two seasons retired, not many people had this team winning more than 5 games (myself included). Only later did we learn what a distraction he was - a player who should have been fondly remembered and revered (and the name of our first born) has been vilified and all by his own doing. (Armani has a better ring to it anyway).
But the bottom line is that you just never know. We read articles and watch news casts but it's all just a guess as to what is going on inside the locker room. Which is why I may go to work during Typhoons but will be taking off September 12th and getting up at 7:00 am to sit down with Scott's sling box, while Lisa lays in bed rolling her eyes and sighing in disbelief.
THE WORST PART of the Upcoming Season
Missing the games - winning or losing I am going to miss tailgating and hang out watching the games on Sunday. Fortunately my fantasy league is working around my schedule for the draft so I'll be able to discuss this season somewhere. I have feeling I'm going to be blowing up the message board this year.
THE BEST PART of the Upcoming Season
Until February of 2009 the Giants will be known as the defending Superbowl Champions and its always fun to refer to them as such (particularly to Jets, Patriot and Dallas fans).
THE PICKS
Starting this blog I had no plan to make any predictions because I'm completely at a loss as to what this season is going to bring. I won't complain (too much) either way because we got to see the team win one of the greatest Super bowl upsets in history before I left the country a few weeks later. So like I previously wrote if they work out some kinks over the next two years I really have no issues with that.
Of course if my picks below are right - I'm heading straight to Macau to roll my luck - if I actually hit a score I'm taking the helicopter over.
9/4 WASHINGTON WIN 31 - 24
9/14 St. Louis WIN 28 - 17
9/21 CINCINNATI WIN 24 -21
10/5 SEATTLE LOSS 28 - 13
10/13 Cleveland WIN 20 - 13
10/19 SAN FRAN WIN 35 - 14
10/26 Pittsburgh LOSS 28 - 10
11/2 DALLAS WIN 20 -19
11/9 Philadelphia WIN 24 - 21
11/16 BALTIMORE LOSS 34 -10
11/23 Arizona WIN 27 - 24
11/30 Washington LOSS 28 - 13
12/7 PHILADELPHIA WIN 10 - 9
12/14 Dallas LOSS 35 - 14
12/21 CAROLINA WIN 21 -17
12/28 Minnesota Loss 31 - 13
So I have us at 10 and 6 and stumbling into the playoffs as a wild card. After last year I'll take that and be happy with anything short of complete collapse (though in reality every loss is going to kill me).
Anyway feel free to argue any and all of the above and I'll blog ya' later...